1⃣ Ecosystem total value locked (TVL) for Ethereum has established a floor for ETH's market cap during market downturns.
Ecosystem TVL refers to the total value of funds deposited into the applications on the chain. This includes deposits to stablecoin & RWA issuers (measured as the tokenized AUM), lending projects, liquid staking projects, and more. Since 2020, ecosystem TVL on Ethereum grew from $24B to $379B (16x), while ETH's market cap increased from $47B to $502B (11x). During the 2022 bear market and April 2025 correction, ecosystem TVL provided visible support at progressively higher levels.
2⃣ Three market sectors account for 93% of Ethereum's ecosystem TVL: stablecoin issuers ($189B), lending ($82B), and liquid & restaking ($73B).
A handful of projects lead each market sector: Tether has 85% market share among stablecoin issuers, Aave has 62% market share in lending, while Lido & EigenLayer control 73% of the liquid staking category. Capital continues to accumulate in projects that provide users with deep liquidity and battle-tested security.
3⃣ Ethereum's current ecosystem TVL of $379B represents a small share of the market cap of TradFi assets that could be tokenized.
BlackRock currently manages $13.5T in assets, yet has only $2.9B onchain. Fidelity manages $6.4T, but has a mere $231M on Ethereum. Should institutions follow through on their stated intentions of bringing assets onchain, we could see a 10x increase in ecosystem TVL on Ethereum over the next few years. If more assets are tokenized on Ethereum, and the correlation between ecosystem TVL and ETH's market cap continues to hold, ETH could see a substantial rerating.
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